35 Results for : forecaster
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Trillion Dollar Economists: How Economists and Their Ideas Have Transformed Business , Hörbuch, Digital, ungekürzt, 893min
A detailed look at how economists shaped the world, and how the legacy continues. Trillion Dollar Economists explores the prize-winning ideas that have shaped business decisions, business models, and government policies, expanding the popular idea of the economist's role from one of forecaster to one of innovator. Written by the former Director of Economic Research at Bloomberg Government, the Kauffman Foundation and the Brookings Institution, this audiobook describes the ways in which economists have helped shape the world - in some cases, dramatically enough to be recognized with a Nobel Prize or Clark Medal. Detailed discussion of how economists think about the world and the pace of future innovation leads to an examination of the role, importance, and limits of the market, and economists' contributions to business and policy in the past, present, and future. Few economists actually forecast the economy's performance. Instead, the bulk of the profession is concerned with how markets work, and how they can be made more efficient and productive to generate the things people want to buy for a better life. Full of interviews with leading economists and industry leaders, Trillion Dollar Economists showcases the innovations that have built modern business and policy. Listeners will: Review the basics of economics and the innovation of economists, including market failures and the macro-micro distinction Discover the true power of economic ideas when used directly in business, as exemplified by Priceline and Google Learn how economists contributed to policy platforms in transportation, energy, telecommunication, and more Explore the future of economics in business applications, and the policy ideas, challenges, and implications ungekürzt. Language: English. Narrator: Chris Ruen. Audio sample: https://samples.audible.de/bk/adbl/021408/bk_adbl_021408_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.- Shop: Audible
- Price: 9.95 EUR excl. shipping
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The Little Book of the Shrinking Dollar: What You Can Do to Protect Your Money Now , Hörbuch, Digital, ungekürzt, 289min
With the weakening dollar a hot topic for retirees, savers, and investors, this Little Book delves into the economic turmoil in the U.S. and shows how to survive it.The United States dollar is losing value at an alarming rate. According to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) index, the U.S. currency is 37 percent below fair value against the Australian dollar and 20 percent versus the Canadian dollar. The decline of the U.S. dollar is one of the biggest threats facing American investors today, but with the Little Book of the Shrinking Dollar: What You Can Do to Protect Your Money Now in hand, you have the knowledge and the expertise you need to fight back.Written by New York Times bestselling author Addison Wiggin, a leading economic forecaster, the book explores the reasons for the dollar's decline, and its precarious relationship to other currencies around the world. Filled with invaluable strategies for retirees, savers, and investors who want to keep their money safe no matter what lies ahead, the audiobook is your one-stop guide to weathering the storm. Covers strategies for safeguarding your wealth, including safer havens for money, alternative investments, and other opportunities. Wiggin's predictions about the decline of the dollar have proven true time and again, making him the right man for the job when it comes to predicting what lies ahead.The U.S. dollar is no longer the secure and stable currency that most Americans grew up believing in. Even after recent gains, the dollar remains weak. But with the Little Book of the Shrinking Dollar you have a concise guide to what's driving its demise and everything you need to protect your money today and in the years to come. ungekürzt. Language: English. Narrator: Joe Geoffrey. Audio sample: https://samples.audible.de/bk/gdan/000713/bk_gdan_000713_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.- Shop: Audible
- Price: 9.95 EUR excl. shipping
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Forecasting for the Pharmaceutical Industry (eBook, PDF)
Forecasting for the Pharmaceutical Industry is a definitive guide for forecasters as well as the multitude of decision makers and executives who rely on forecasts in their decision making. In virtually every decision, a pharmaceutical executive considers some type of forecast. This process of predicting the future is crucial to many aspects of the company - from next month's production schedule, to market estimates for drugs in the next decade. The pharmaceutical forecaster needs to strike a delicate balance between over-engineering the forecast - including rafts of data and complex 'black box' equations that few stakeholders understand and even fewer buy into - and an overly simplistic approach that relies too heavily on anecdotal information and opinion. Arthur G. Cook's highly pragmatic guide explains the basis of a successful balanced forecast for products in development as well as currently marketed products. The author explores the pharmaceutical forecasting process; the varied tools and methods for new product and in-market forecasting; how they can be used to communicate market dynamics to the various stakeholders; and the strengths and weaknesses of different forecast approaches. The text is liberally illustrated with tables, diagrams and examples. The final extended case study provides the reader with an opportunity to test out their knowledge. The second edition has been updated throughout and includes a brand new chapter focusing on specialized topics such as forecasting for orphan drugs and biosimilars.- Shop: buecher
- Price: 97.95 EUR excl. shipping
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Rain: A Natural and Cultural History , Hörbuch, Digital, ungekürzt, 704min
A natural history of rain, told through a lyrical blend of science, cultural history, and human drama. It is elemental, mysterious, precious, destructive. It is the subject of countless poems and paintings; the top of the weather report; the source of all the world's water. Yet this is the first audiobook to tell the story of rain. Cynthia Barnett's Rain begins four billion years ago with the torrents that filled the oceans, and builds to the storms of climate change. It weaves together science - the true shape of a raindrop, the mysteries of colored rains - with the human story of our attempts to control rain, from ancient rain dances to the 2,203 miles of levees that attempt to straitjacket the Mississippi River. It offers a glimpse of our "founding forecaster," Thomas Jefferson, who measured every drizzle long before modern meteorology. Two centuries later, rainy skies would help inspire Morrissey's mopes and Kurt Cobain's grunge. Rain is also a travelogue, taking listeners to Scotland to tell the surprising story of the mackintosh raincoat, and to India, where villagers extract the scent of rain from the monsoon-drenched earth and turn it into perfume. Now, after thousands of years spent praying for rain or worshiping it; burning witches at the stake to stop rain or sacrificing small children to bring it; mocking rain with irrigated agriculture and cities built in floodplains; even trying to blast rain out of the sky with mortars meant for war, humanity has finally managed to change the rain. Only not in ways we intended. As climate change upends rainfall patterns and unleashes increasingly severe storms and drought, Barnett shows rain to be a unifying force in a fractured world. Too much and not nearly enough, rain is a conversation we share, and this is an audiobook for everyone who has ever experienced it. ungekürzt. Language: English. Narrator: Christina Traister. Audio sample: https://samples.audible.de/bk/brll/006942/bk_brll_006942_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.- Shop: Audible
- Price: 9.95 EUR excl. shipping
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The Demographic Cliff: How to Survive and Prosper During the Great Deflation of 2014-2019 , Hörbuch, Digital, ungekürzt, 664min
Best-selling author and financial guru Harry Dent shows why we’re facing a "great deflation" after five years of desperate stimulus - and what to do about it now. Throughout his long career as an economic forecaster, Harry Dent has relied on a not-so-secret weapon: demographics. Studying the predictable things people do as they age is the ultimate tool for understanding trends. For instance, Dent can tell a client exactly when people will spend the most on potato chips. And he can explain why our economy has risen and fallen with the peak spending of generations, and why we now face a growing demographic cliff with the accelerating retirement of the Baby Boomers around the world. Dent predicted the impact of the Boomers hitting their highest growth in spending in the 1990s, when most economists saw the United States declining. And he anticipated the decline of Japan in the 1990s, when economists were proclaiming it would overtake the U.S. economy. But now, Dent argues, the fundamental demographics have turned against the United States and will hit more countries ahead. Inflation rises when a larger than usual block of younger people enter the workforce, and it wanes when large numbers of older people retire, downsize their homes, and cut their spending. The mass retirement of the Boomers won’t just hold back inflation; it and massive debt deleveraging will actually cause deflation - weakening the economy the most from 2014 into 2019. Dent explores the implications of his controversial predictions. He offers advice on retirement planning, health care, real estate, education, investing, and business strategies. Dent shows that if you take the time to understand demographic data, using it to your advantage isn’t all that difficult. By following his suggestions, listeners will be able to find the upside to the downturn and learn how to survive and prosper during the most challenging years ahead. ungekürzt. Language: English. Narrator: Harry S. Dent, Jr.. Audio sample: https://samples.audible.de/bk/brll/005628/bk_brll_005628_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.- Shop: Audible
- Price: 9.95 EUR excl. shipping
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Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe , Hörbuch, Digital, ungekürzt, 701min
A major new book by New York Times best-selling author and geopolitical forecaster George Friedman (The Next 100 Years, The Next Decade) with a bold thesis about coming conflict in the world, this provocative work examines the geopolitical flashpoints - particularly in Europe - in which imminent future conflicts are brewing. George Friedman has forecasted the coming trends (politics, technology, population, and culture) of the next century in The Next 100 Years, and focused his predictions on the coming ten years in The Next Decade. Now, in Flashpoints, Friedman zooms in on the region that has, for 500 years, been the cultural hotbed of the world - Europe - and examines the most basic and fascinating building block of the region: culture. Analyzing the fault lines that have existed for centuries - and which have led to two world wars and dozens more conflicts - Friedman walks us through the "flashpoints" that are still smoldering beneath the surface and are on course to erupt again. In Flashpoints, George Friedman begins with a fascinating history of the events leading up to the horrific wars that nearly tore apart Western civilization - killing over 100 million people on the "civilized" European continent. Modern-day Europe, and the formation of the European Union, were designed to minimize the built-in geopolitical tensions that led to catastrophic war, but as Friedman shows with a mix of history and cultural analysis, those plans have failed. "Flashpoints" are now simmering as dangerously as in the early twentieth century. Zeroing in on half a dozen locations, borderlands, and cultural dynamics, George Friedman does what few historians can - he explains precisely how certain trends are unstoppable, and what the future holds... both in terms of conflict and also opportunity. Flashpoints also explains in riveting detail how events in Europe will affect the rest of the ungekürzt. Language: English. Narrator: Bruce Turk, George Friedman. Audio sample: https://samples.audible.de/bk/rand/004059/bk_rand_004059_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.- Shop: Audible
- Price: 9.95 EUR excl. shipping
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - but Some Don't , Hörbuch, Digital, ungekürzt, 981min
Updated for 2020 with a New Preface by Nate Silver "One of the more momentous books of the decade." (The New York Times Book Review) Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger - all by the time he was 30. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the “prediction paradox”: The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to global pandemics, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good - or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a ungekürzt. Language: English. Narrator: Mike Chamberlain. Audio sample: https://samples.audible.de/bk/peng/001972/bk_peng_001972_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.- Shop: Audible
- Price: 9.95 EUR excl. shipping
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Imaginable (eBook, ePUB)
War in Ukraine, the COVID-19 pandemic, double-digit inflation, climate disasters - events we might have called unimaginable in the past are now reality.How can we be confident about making plans?How might we feel secure despite the future being unknown?How do we learn to feel at peace with the unexpected?World-renowned future forecaster, game designer and NEW YORK TIMES bestselling author Jane McGonigal gives us the tools to imagine the future without fear.Today it feels more challenging than ever to feel unafraid, hopeful, and equipped to face the future with optimism. How do we map out our lives when it seems impossible to predict what the world will be like next week, let alone next year or next decade? What we need now are strategies to help us recover our confidence and creativity in facing uncertain futures.By learning to think the unthinkable and imagine the unimaginable you can better plan for a future you'd like to see. And by seeing what's coming faster, you can adapt to new challenges, reduce anxiety, and build hope and resilience."Jane McGonigal is unusually adept at anticipating events that most of us can't even fathom. In this eye-opening, actionable book, she teaches you how to widen your peripheral vision, extend your imagination farther into the future, and conceive of the inconceivable." Adam Grant, #1 Bestselling Author of Think Again__________'Top 10 innovators to watch' Business Week10 most powerful women to watch' Forbes'Top 100 creative people in business' Fast Company- Shop: buecher
- Price: 11.99 EUR excl. shipping
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Be Your Own Boss: How to Prosper in the Coming Entrepreneurial Decade, Hörbuch, Digital, 240min
Entrepreneurs and the most innovative businesses create "the next great thing" only when the economy faces the greatest challenges. From 2015 to 2020+ will be such a period! Harry Dent, best-selling author and trend forecaster, sees the coming decade as the most opportunistic of a lifetime, but only if you see it coming - which most won't. Entrepreneurs will do the best in this inevitable crisis ahead. In this all-new program, Be Your Own Boss: How to Prosper in the Coming Entrepreneurial Decade, Harry wants to encourage you to start your own business in the best way suited for you. Harry Dent is an entrepreneur himself, and this program is all about motivating you to become more serious in your pursuit of entrepreneurship, as the next decade could be very threatening if you don't. The good news is that more than ever, new Internet and social media technologies make it easier to become an entrepreneur today. The next five to seven years, and possibly longer, will be the worst years for the global economy in your lifetime - but there are unprecedented opportunities for entrepreneurs and for people who can generate cash and cash flow to prosper and survive and to buy financial assets during "the sale of a lifetime". You will come out of this audio program with a better understanding of the fundamental trends that drive our economy - greater than the most highly educated economists. Yes, our economy is complex, but it is also very simple and very human. It is the simplest insights that allow us to see long-term trends well before they occur. You can understand such principles, and the insights will allow you to better guide your kids, invest for retirement, and manage your life and business at any level. The strategies outlined in this audio program will give you the greatest chance for success during this most difficult and opportune times, when the cream rises to the top and entrepreneurs reign. PLEASE NOTE: When you Language: English. Narrator: Harry S. Dent Jr.. Audio sample: https://samples.audible.de/bk/gdan/001834/bk_gdan_001834_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.- Shop: Audible
- Price: 9.95 EUR excl. shipping
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The New Megatrends: Seeing Clearly in the Age of Disruption
A pioneering forecaster predicts the trends and technologies that will shape global culture and commerce in the next two decades-a must-read guide for business leaders, entrepreneurs, and anyone looking for an edge. "In a world of half-baked hot takes, Marian Salzman is a true seer."-Andrew Yang A little more than twenty years ago, the Y2K computer glitch threatened to bring the global economy to its knees. But instead of overnight disruption, humankind slipped into two decades of economic turmoil, ecological angst, and tribalism, all set against the backdrop of a newly global and digital civilization. Sometimes the events that seem pivotal are just blips, while the more meaningful cultural shifts are hiding in plain sight. Marian Salzman's job is to uncover those hidden shifts. So what's in store for the next two decades? In this acutely observed guide, Salzman, whose past predictions have been heralded for coming uncannily close to the way we live now, unpacks the course of human life from the bumpy turn of the millennium through the pandemic era, when chaos and "together apart" are the new normal, equity has become a battle cry, and breathing space emerged as the greatest luxury of all. Drawing inspiration from John Naisbitt's classic 1982 book Megatrends, Salzman then turns to the two decades ahead. Navigating deftly among geographies, she connects threads across business, civic life, consumerism, family, and entertainment, revealing the trends and developments-some established, some surprising-poised to recast our past, shape our collective future, and shift our identities. In a world dominated by disruption, being prepared for change is a critical advantage. The New Megatrends is gripping reading for anyone seeking to understand the shape and texture of the next era, which, above all, will be marked by its relentless pace, new technology, and the ever-present threats of climate change and political division.- Shop: buecher
- Price: 24.99 EUR excl. shipping